# Case Study: AMD 2025 Holy Grail 50WMA Retest

In June 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) completed a textbook Holy Grail setup as price pulled back cleanly to test a rising 50-week moving average near $143 following a major consolidation base. The setup demonstrated strong relative strength against the S&P 500 and a bullish EMA cloud flip, preceding a powerful multi-month expansion to $557.

> **Performance Notice:** Outcome figures shown (+288%) represent an exceptional historical case study and are **not typical**. Stock market investing involves significant risk. Always review our [Value Trap Case Study](/cases/value-trap) to understand setup failures.

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![AMD 2025 Momentum Chart: 50WMA Holy Grail Retest Surge to $557](/images/amd-momentum.gif)

## Technical Context at the Signal

| Metric | Recorded Value |
|---|---|
| **Ticker** | AMD (NASDAQ) |
| **Signal Date** | June 13, 2025 |
| **Weekly Signal Close** | $143.20 |
| **50-Week Moving Average** | $140.10 (Rising) |
| **Retest Proximity** | +2.2% above 50WMA |
| **Mansfield RS vs. SPX** | Positive / Expanding |
| **Defined Invalidation Stop** | $140.00 (Weekly close below 50WMA) |
| **Outcome (as of Jan 16, 2026)** | Peak $557.00 (+288%) |

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## Technical Anatomy of the Move

1. **Prior Consolidation:** AMD formed a constructive weekly base over multiple quarters, digesting prior gains.
2. **Orderly Pullback:** Price drifted down on declining weekly volume toward the rising 50-week moving average at $140.10.
3. **Buyer Defense:** Institutional accumulation stepped in directly in the 0–3% retest window, producing a strong weekly reversal bar.
4. **Follow-Through:** Confirmed by expanding Mansfield RS against the benchmark S&P 500.

See [The Holy Grail Setup](/setups/holy-grail) and [Disclaimer](/disclaimer).